54 lines
1.8 KiB
Markdown
54 lines
1.8 KiB
Markdown
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# Quick Decision: ONDS (Jan 29, 2026)
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## 📊 決策總結
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**執行時間**: 2026-01-29 22:20
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**標的**: Ondas Holdings (ONDS)
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**最終決策**: ✅ **STRONG BUY**
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---
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## 1️⃣ 核心論述 (Why?)
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**"Blue List" 認證消除最大風險，邊境合約發布在即。**
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- **催化劑 (Catalyst)**: DoD Blue List 批准 (已發生) + 邊境合約 PO (預計本月)。這是從「預期」轉向「落實」的關鍵時刻。
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- **基本面 (Fundamental)**: 營收指引上調至 $180M，政府背書確保長期營收來源。
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- **技術面 (Technical)**: 股價站穩 $12 支撐，呈現多頭排列，回檔即買點。
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- **風險分 (Risk Score)**: **90/100** (Critical Priority)
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---
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## 2️⃣ 交易計劃 (Action Plan)
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### 💰 買多少 (Position Sizing)
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- **建議倉位**: **8-10%** (高信心/高風險配置)
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- **資金分配**:
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- **第一批 (60%)**: 現價 **$12.30** 直接進場 (Aggressive)。
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- **第二批 (40%)**: 掛單 **$11.90** 防守/加碼。
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### ⏰ 什麼時候買 (Timing)
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- **立即執行**: 消息面 (Blue List) 強度足以支撐現價買入。不要等待完美低點，以免錯失合約發布後的跳空缺口。
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### 🚪 出場設定 (Exit)
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- **停損 (Stop)**: **$11.60** (跌破支撐與消息面失效)。
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- **目標 (Target)**:
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- TP1: **$13.50** (前高/短線)
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- TP2: **$15.00** (合約發布後預期目標)
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---
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## 3️⃣ 檢查清單 (Final Check)
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| 檢查項目 | 結果 | 備註 |
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|----------|------|------|
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| ✅ 催化劑明確? | YES | Blue List 已過，等待 PO |
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| ✅ 風險可控? | YES | 下檔 $11.60，風險回報比 > 3:1 |
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| ✅ 資金充裕? | CHECK | 確保總倉位不超標 |
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---
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## 📝 執行指令
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```bash
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# 範例掛單指令 (僅供參考)
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BUY ONDS LIMIT 12.30 (60% Size)
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BUY ONDS LIMIT 11.90 (40% Size)
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STOP LOSS 11.60
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```
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