97 lines
3.1 KiB
Markdown
97 lines
3.1 KiB
Markdown
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---
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date: 2026-01-27
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ticker: ONDS
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type: stock-data
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analyst: AI Assistant
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---
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# 📊 ONDS 股票數據報告
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**生成時間**: 2026-01-27 19:10
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**數據截至**: 2026-01-27
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---
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## 📌 快速摘要 (Jan 27 Update)
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| 項目 | 數值 | 狀態 | 變化 |
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|------|------|------|------|
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| 當前股價 | $11.16 | ⚠️ | -8.0% (今日) |
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| 市值 | $4.72B | ✅ | — |
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| 隱含波動率 (IV) | 高 | ⚠️ | 期權牆下移 |
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| Call/Put 比 | 95k/86k (接近 1:1) | 🟡 | 多空膠著 |
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| 機構持股趨勢 | 31.9% | ✅ | 持穩 |
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| 內部人交易 | 淨賣出 | 🔴 | 12月大量獲利了結 |
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| 新聞情緒 | 無新消息 | 🟡 | 靜待邊境合約 |
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---
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## 1️⃣ 基礎市場數據 (Today's Action)
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### 基礎資訊
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- **當前股價**: $11.16 (-8.0% from prev close)
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- **市值**: $4.73B
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- **成交量**: ~80M (活躍)
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- **技術支撐**: **$11.00** (關鍵整數關卡，今日正在測試) ⚠️
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**今日盤勢解讀**:
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股價在無特定利空下回調 8%，測試 $11.00 支撐。這可能是 1 月大漲後的正常獲利回吐，或者是市場對增發新股 (1.6M shares resale) 的反應。
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---
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## 2️⃣ 財務數據 (Q3 2025 + Q4 預告)
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### 財務狀況
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- **Q4 預告營收**: $27-29M (YoY +51%)
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- **2025 全年營收**: ~$48M (YoY +23%)
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- **現金**: $451.63M (MRQ) - **極度充裕**
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- **債務**: $18.03M - **極低**
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**結論**: 基本面成長故事不變，現金足以支撐運營，今日下跌與基本面無關。
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---
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## 3️⃣ 機構與內部人持股
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### 內部人警訊 🔴
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- **CEO (Eric Brock)**: 12/31 賣出 475k 股 @ $9.71
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- **Director (Ron Stern)**: 1/21 申請再賣 100k 股 (Form 144)
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- **解讀**: 高管持續利用高股價 ($10+) 進行套現，這對短期股價形成心理壓力。
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---
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## 4️⃣ 期權市場數據 (Jan 30 Expiry)
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### 本週五到期 (1/30)
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- **Max Pain**: **$12.50** (昨日預估) -> **$12.00** (今日下修)
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- **Put Wall**: **$12.00** (6,750 OI) -> 今日已被摜破 ⚠️
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- **Next Support**: **$11.00** (3,886 Puts) & **$10.00** (7,081 Puts)
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- **Call Wall**: $13.00 (5,933 OI) -> $15.00+
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**期權解讀**:
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- 短線空頭佔上風，成功將股價壓制在 Put Wall $12 之下。
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- 若今日收盤無法站回 $11.50 - $12.00，下個回測目標是 $10.00 (大量 Put 支撐)。
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- Call OI 仍高 (95k contracts)，顯示多頭未完全撤退，仍在等待催化劑。
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---
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## 5️⃣ 綜合評估與建議
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### 投資論述
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- **多頭**: 成長爆發 (Q4 +51%) + 邊境合約 (Jan catalyst) + 現金強。
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- **空頭**: 技術面回調 (-8%) + 內部人持續賣股 + 增發股解禁壓力。
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### 交易策略 (修正)
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鑑於今日跌破 $12.00 支撐：
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- **觀望**: 暫不急於接刀，觀察 **$11.00** 整數關卡能否守住。
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- **買點**:
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- 若 $11.00 止穩 + 出量紅K -> 嘗試建倉。
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- 若跌破 $11.00 -> 等待 $10.00 (200MA/Put Wall) 強力支撐。
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- **催化劑交易**: 繼續等待 1 月底的「邊境保護合約」新聞，這是唯一能扭轉短線空頭的關鍵。
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---
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## 🔗 後續步驟
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1. `/catalyst-check ONDS` - 再確認一次合約發布的最後期限
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2. `/risk-score ONDS` - 更新今日大跌後的風險評分
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