27 lines
1.7 KiB
Markdown
27 lines
1.7 KiB
Markdown
|
# Entry/Exit Analysis: ONDS (Jan 29, 2026)
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
## 🎯 Strategy: Catalyst Breakout / Aggressive Trend
|
||
|
|
**Thesis**: The "Blue List" approval is a fundamental shift. We are no longer buying the *rumor* of safety; we are buying the *fact*. The next leg up is driven by the pending border contract PO. We want to be fully positioned BEFORE that PO drops.
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
## 🟢 Entry Zones
|
||
|
|
| Zone | Price Range | Strategy | Confidence |
|
||
|
|
|------|-------------|----------|------------|
|
||
|
|
| **Primary (Aggressive)** | **$12.15 - $12.45** | **Market Buy**. Current levels are consolidating nicely above $12. Don't get cute waiting for deep dips. | 🟢 High |
|
||
|
|
| **Secondary (Dip)** | **$11.85 - $12.00** | **Limit Buy**. If market chops, add heavily here. This is key support. | 🟡 Medium |
|
||
|
|
| **Breakout Add** | **Above $13.10** | **Momentum Add**. Adding to winners if it clears local resistance with volume. | 🟢 High |
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
## 🔴 Stop Loss
|
||
|
|
- **Hard Stop**: **$11.60**
|
||
|
|
- *Rationale*: A break below $11.60 invalidates the immediate bullish consolidation and suggests the "Blue List" bump is failing or being sold off.
|
||
|
|
- **Trailing Stop**: Activate at $13.50, trail by $0.50.
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
## 🏁 Profit Targets
|
||
|
|
1. **Target 1: $13.50** (Near-term resistance). Take 25% profit here to lock in gains.
|
||
|
|
2. **Target 2: $15.00** (Contract PO Gap). This is the expected move when the Border Contract is officially announced.
|
||
|
|
3. **Target 3: $18.00+** (Blue Sky). Longer term hold for full valuation of gov contracts.
|
||
|
|
|
||
|
|
## ⚡ Execution Plan
|
||
|
|
1. **Immediate**: Enter full starter position (50-70% size) at current market (~$12.30).
|
||
|
|
2. **Watch**: Monitor for the Border Contract PR.
|
||
|
|
3. **React**: If $11.80 breaks, cut. If $13.50 hits, trim.
|