stock-flow/sessions/2026-01-29-ONDS-entry-exit.md

1.7 KiB

Entry/Exit Analysis: ONDS (Jan 29, 2026)

🎯 Strategy: Catalyst Breakout / Aggressive Trend

Thesis: The "Blue List" approval is a fundamental shift. We are no longer buying the rumor of safety; we are buying the fact. The next leg up is driven by the pending border contract PO. We want to be fully positioned BEFORE that PO drops.

🟢 Entry Zones

Zone Price Range Strategy Confidence
Primary (Aggressive) $12.15 - $12.45 Market Buy. Current levels are consolidating nicely above $12. Don't get cute waiting for deep dips. 🟢 High
Secondary (Dip) $11.85 - $12.00 Limit Buy. If market chops, add heavily here. This is key support. 🟡 Medium
Breakout Add Above $13.10 Momentum Add. Adding to winners if it clears local resistance with volume. 🟢 High

🔴 Stop Loss

  • Hard Stop: $11.60
    • Rationale: A break below $11.60 invalidates the immediate bullish consolidation and suggests the "Blue List" bump is failing or being sold off.
  • Trailing Stop: Activate at $13.50, trail by $0.50.

🏁 Profit Targets

  1. Target 1: $13.50 (Near-term resistance). Take 25% profit here to lock in gains.
  2. Target 2: $15.00 (Contract PO Gap). This is the expected move when the Border Contract is officially announced.
  3. Target 3: $18.00+ (Blue Sky). Longer term hold for full valuation of gov contracts.

Execution Plan

  1. Immediate: Enter full starter position (50-70% size) at current market (~$12.30).
  2. Watch: Monitor for the Border Contract PR.
  3. React: If $11.80 breaks, cut. If $13.50 hits, trim.