stock-flow/sessions/2026-01-29-ONDS-catalysts.md

1.1 KiB

ONDS Catalyst Timeline (Jan 29, 2026)

🔥 Imminent & High Impact

Date Event Impact Status
Jan 28 DoD "Blue List" Approval 🚀 Extreme Confirmed. Optimus Drone approved for US Gov use. Unlocks huge TAM.
Jan 31 Border Contract PO 🚀 High Pending. Initial PO for border protection system expected within Jan.
Mar 11 Q4 2025 Earnings 🟡 Medium Estimated. Revenue guidance raised on Jan 16.

📅 Summary

  • Blue List Confirmed: The biggest regulatory hurdle is cleared. This validates the tech for defense usage.
  • Contract Watch: All eyes are now on the Border Protection Contract. With Blue List approval, the PO is likely imminent (days away).
  • Revenue Outlook: FY2026 guidance raised to $180M (from $170M).

🚦 Trade Implication

  • Bullish Confirmation: The Blue List news is the "smoking gun" for the bull case.
  • Next Leg Up: The stock should price in the specific monetary value of the upcoming border contract once announced.