1.5 KiB
1.5 KiB
Risk Score: ONDS (Jan 29, 2026)
🛡️ Total Score: 90/100 (🔥 Critical Priority)
1. Catalyst Clarity (35/35) - MAX SCORE
- Blue List (Confirmed): The "Blue List" approval is a binary risk event that has resolved positively. There is no longer speculation—it is a fact.
- Contract PO (Imminent): With the regulatory gate opened, the purchase order is a logistical formality expected within 48-72 hours.
2. Technical Quality (22/25)
- Support Hold: Price successfully tested and held $12.00, now consolidating at $12.30.
- Trend: Bullish consolidation flag pattern forming after the initial pop.
- Risk: Failure to hold $11.80 would be the only technical negative, but sell-pressure is absorbed by news.
3. Fundamentals (15/20)
- Guidance Raised: FY2026 revenue outlook up to $180M.
- DoD Backing: Government validation validates the tech stack's commercial viability.
4. Sentiment & Liquidity (18/20)
- Volume: Elevated. Market is watching closely.
- Institutional Interest: DoD approval acts as a "seal of quality" for institutional entry.
⚠️ Key Risks
- "Sell the News"?: There's a small chance of profit-taking on the Blue List news, but the actual contract (
$) hasn't dropped yet. The big run likely happens on the PO. - Delay: If the PO doesn't drop by Jan 31, impatience could cause a minor drift lower.
💡 Conclusion
Risk is drastically reduced compared to yesterday. The regulatory gamble is gone. Now it's an execution play. Verdict: Aggressive Long.